COVID-19 and coronavirus: current scenario in Brazil and in the world

The pandemic leaves more than 18 thousand deaths in the world

Three months after the beginning of the COVID-19 and coronavirus epidemic in China, in December 2019, more than 400,000 cases have already been registered in the world and 18,000 deaths. It is almost a consensus among specialists that this number will increase considerably in the months to come.

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In Brazilian territory, more than 2,200 cases and 47 deaths from COVID-19 have already been confirmed. One detail needs to be highlighted. These values refer to a scenario that developed over a period of about two weeks. Counted from the confirmation of community transmission of the infection in the cities of São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro.

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It's just the tip of the iceberg.

COVID-19 e coronavírus: cenário atual no Brasil e no mundo
colors represent numbers of confirmed cases of COVID-19

A survey by the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine in England, estimates that the reported cases in Brazil represent approximately only 11% of the real number.

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The researchers call attention to the fact that Brasilia, even though it has a smaller number of cases compared to São Paulo so far, has a greater risk of infection when taking into account the size of the population that can contract the infection, and not exclusively the case count.

COVID-19 and Coronavirus

“We are experiencing an unprecedented crisis in global public health. The restrictive measures adopted in several countries based on scientific studies have been giving concrete results. Believe in science! It can help us to reduce suffering and save lives. Stay at home”, says the article signed by some of the most respected and experienced health experts in the country.

The cited article was released this Wednesday and is signed by Afrânio Kritski (UFRJ), Domingos Alves (USP), Guilherme Werneck (UFRJ), Mauro Sanchez (UnB), Rafael Galilez (UFRJ), Roberto Medronho (UFRJ) and Ivan Zimmermann (UnB).

They also reinforce that “any delay in the implementation of actions can have very serious repercussions, with an increasing number of deaths and a substantial increase in the difficulty of controlling transmission in the medium and long term. Therefore, it is essential that everyone stay at home. We reiterate the importance of science for the maintenance of human life”.

And they explained that the decision of the federal government in no longer register suspected cases after community transmission was declared across the country. The reason is simple. Without suspected cases, it is much more difficult to assess the progression of the epidemic and the effects of the implemented control actions.🇧🇷 The population will have no way of knowing what actually happens in the country, explain the researchers.

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